Thursday, June 28, 2012

Heino v. Shenseki, No. 2011-7160 (Decided: June 28, 2012) VA's Copayment Regulation Section 1722A

Excerpt from decision below: "Finally, looking to the purpose of section 1722A as a whole, it is clear the VA’s copayment regulation is reasonable. The purpose of section 1722A is to allow the VA to recoup some of the cost of its benefit program while HEINO v. DVA 17 ensuring that the VA does not charge so much as “to result in veterans not seeking needed care and services . . . .” Id. The current regulation keeps copayments to a minimum by not charging veterans for the actual cost of their medication, 66 Fed. Reg. at 36,961, and charging a copayment below the VA’s calculated administrative cost, 77 Fed. Reg. at 19,425. Moreover, the VA increases copayments only with inflation and has sought to reexamine its procedures to ensure that the VA continues to be an attractive medication provider. See 74 Fed. Reg. 69,283, 69,283-69,284 (freezing many copayments at $8 to determine whether increases in copayments under the prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index “might pose a significant financial hardship for certain veterans and if so, what alternative approach would provide appropriate relief for these veterans”). These measures adequately fulfill Congress’s charge and therefore the VA’s copayment regulation is reasonable. ============================ United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit __________________________ WILLIAM H. HEINO, SR., Claimant-Appellant, v. ERIC K. SHINSEKI, SECRETARY OF VETERANS AFFAIRS, Respondent-Appellee. __________________________ 2011-7160 __________________________ Appeal from the United States Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims in Case No. 09-112, Judge William A. Moorman. ___________________________ Decided: June 28, 2012 ___________________________ NATHAN S. MAMMEN, Kirkland & Ellis LLP, of Washington, DC, argued for claimant-appellant. With him on the brief was JOSEPH F. EDELL. MICHAEL P. GOODMAN, Trial Attorney, Commercial Litigation Branch, Civil Division, United States Department of Justice, of Washington, DC, argued for respondent- appellee. With him on the brief were TONY WEST, Assistant Attorney General, JEANNE E. DAVIDSON, Director, and MARTIN F. HOCKEY, JR., Assistant Director. Of HEINO v. DVA 2 counsel on the brief were SUSAN BLAUERT, Deputy Assistant General Counsel, and JENNIFER A. GRAY, Attorney, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, of Washington, DC. __________________________ Before RADER, Chief Judge, PLAGER, and WALLACH, Circuit Judges. Opinion for the court filed by Circuit Judge WALLACH. Opinion concurring filed by Circuit Judge PLAGER. WALLACH, Circuit Judge. William H. Heino, Sr. (“Mr. Heino”) appeals from a judgment of the United States Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims (“Veterans Court”) affirming a decision by the Board of Veterans’ Appeals (“Board”) denying him a lower copayment for his prescribed medication. Mr. Heino contends that his copayment amount must be reduced because it is more than what the Department of Veterans Affairs (“VA”) pays for his medication and that 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(2) prohibits the VA from charging a copayment in excess of what the VA pays for a veteran’s medication. However, because section 1722A(a)(2) is ambiguous, and because the VA’s copayment regulation, 38 C.F.R. § 17.110, is reasonable in light of the statute, we affirm. I. Mr. Heino, a veteran, is prescribed a daily dose of 12.5 milligrams of Atenolol.1 The lowest strength available for the prescription is a 25 milligram tablet, so Mr. Heino’s physician instructed him to split each tablet in half. At the time this case began, Mr. Heino paid a $7 copayment 1 Atenolol is a drug commonly used to treat high blood pressure. HEINO v. DVA 3 for a 30-day supply of 15 tablets, which he claimed was excessive in light of the fact that some veterans paid the same copayment for twice the medication. On March 13, 2002, Mr. Heino sent a letter to the VA requesting that it adjust his copayment. The VA responded by stating that the copayment “is being applied as it should be.” In February 2004, Mr. Heino again contested his copayment amount to the VA. In a letter dated February 11, 2005, the VA Office of Regional Counsel determined that the $7 copayment was correct under applicable law and regulation. Mr. Heino filed a Notice of Disagreement with the VA’s decision and on December 24, 2008, the Board concluded that the $7 copayment amount was proper.2 Mr. Heino appealed the Board’s decision to the Veterans Court, and the Veterans Court affirmed. Heino v. Shinseki, 24 Vet. App. 367 (2011). Mr. Heino argued that the regulation the VA uses to calculate his copayment amount, 38 C.F.R. § 17.110, conflicts with section 1722A(a)(2), which prohibits the VA from charging a copayment “in excess of the cost to the Secretary for medication,” because the actual cost of his Atenolol prescription was well below $7.3 Contrary to Mr. Heino’s interpretation of the statute, the Veterans Court held that “the cost” referred to in section 1722A(a)(2) could “be 2 The Board initially agreed with the VA in a March 2007 decision. After Mr. Heino appealed that Board decision to the Veterans Court, it was discovered that the VA had lost Mr. Heino’s claims file. As a result, the Veterans Court remanded the case for readjudication. The readjudicated proceeding was decided by the Board on December 24, 2008. 3 Throughout this opinion we refer to the cost of a veteran’s prescribed medication—the pills or tablets themselves—as the “actual cost” of medication. We refer to the cost associated with dispensing a veteran’s prescription as the VA’s “administrative cost.” HEINO v. DVA 4 interpreted as including the Secretary’s costs in dispensing the medication, i.e., his administrative costs” as well as the VA’s actual cost. Id. at 373. Because the term “the cost” was ambiguous, the Veterans Court reviewed the VA’s copayment regulation, which did not charge Mr. Heino a copayment in excess of the VA’s projected average administrative cost, for reasonableness. Id. The Veterans Court held that given the “regulatory and statutory history, as well as the statutory framework,” the regulation was valid.4 Id. Judge Hagel dissented in part and reasoned that the phrase “the cost to the Secretary for medication” in section 1722A(a)(2) is “clear, unambiguous, and cannot be construed as including costs incurred by the Secretary in dispensing the medication.” Id. at 376 (Hagel, J., dissenting). Judge Hagel stated that “[n]owhere in this statutory interplay is there a reference to administrative costs incurred by the Secretary in dispensing the veteran’s 30- day supply of medication, costs that are wholly apart from the cost to the Secretary for the medication itself.” Id. at 377. Mr. Heino filed a timely notice of appeal to this court. We have jurisdiction over this appeal pursuant to 38 U.S.C. § 7292(a). 4 Mr. Heino also argued that his copayment was excessive because he was charged the same copayment as other veterans who receive more medication in their 30- day supply. The Veterans Court held that section 1722A(a)(1), which states that the VA may charge a veteran a copayment “for each 30-day supply of medication” allows the VA to charge a copayment for “a 30-day supply of medication—regardless of the dosage prescribed for the 30-day period.” Heino, 24 Vet. App. at 372 (emphasis in original). HEINO v. DVA 5 II. To determine whether the VA is correctly charging Mr. Heino, we must interpret 38 U.S.C. § 1722A and determine whether 38 C.F.R. § 17.110 comports with the statute. We will first discuss the law and regulations at issue in this case and then will proceed by examining them under the framework provided in Chevron U.S.A. Inc. v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc., 467 U.S. 837 (1984). A. What is now section 1722A was initially codified as 38 U.S.C. § 622A by the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1990, Pub. L. No. 101-508, § 8012, 104 Stat. 1388 (1990). In 1991 Congress redesignated the law as 38 U.S.C. § 1722A without amending its language. Pub. L. No. 102-83, § 5(a), 105 Stat. 378 (1991). The current section 1722A(a)(1) is substantively the same as the 1990 law, see 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(3) (incorporating the language removed from the original section 622A(a)(1)), and the current section 1722A(a)(2) is identical to the original statute. The current law reads: (a)(1) Subject to paragraph (2), the Secretary shall require a veteran to pay the United States $2 for each 30-day supply of medication furnished such veteran under this chapter on an outpatient basis for the treatment of a non-service-connected disability or condition. If the amount supplied is less than a 30-day supply, the amount of the charge may not be reduced. (2) The Secretary may not require a veteran to pay an amount in excess of the cost to the Secretary for medication described in paragraph (1). HEINO v. DVA 6 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(1)-(2) (emphasis added). In 1999, as part of the Veterans Millennium Health Care and Benefits Act, Pub. L. No. 106-117, § 201, 113 Stat. 1545 (1999), Congress added the current subsection (b) to the statute, which reads: (b) The Secretary, pursuant to regulations which the Secretary shall prescribe, may-- (1) increase the copayment amount in effect under subsection (a); and (2) establish a maximum monthly and a maximum annual pharmaceutical copayment amount under subsection (a) for veterans who have multiple outpatient prescriptions. 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(b) (emphasis added). A report from the House Committee on Veterans’ Affairs stated that the VA’s new authority under section 1722A(b) was intended to bring the VA’s benefit program in line with private and other government healthcare providers where individuals carry a larger share of costs. H.R. Rep. No. 106-237, at 41- 42 (1999). The report stated that allowing the VA: to set reasonable copayment increases on prescription drugs is a reasonable policy in the face of VA’s mounting pharmaceutical costs–approaching $2 billion annually. Notwithstanding an aggressive pharmacy benefits management policy, VA’s pharmacy costs have nearly doubled since copayments were instituted some nine years ago. Id. at 42. The report mentioned that although Congress was granting the VA “relatively broad discretion” to raise copayments, the VA should exercise “caution that copayments not be set so high as to result in veterans not seeking needed care and services . . . .” Id. at 43. HEINO v. DVA 7 Pursuant to subsection (b)(1), the VA published a proposed rule in 2001 that would increase the copayment amount to $7 from the $2 listed in section 1722A(a)(1). Copayments for Medications, 66 Fed. Reg. 36,960, 36,960- 36,961 (proposed July 16, 2001) (to be codified at 38 C.F.R. pt. 17). Additionally, the proposed rule would enact an escalator provision to increase copayments with inflation as measured by the prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index. Id. However, the provision would round all increases in inflation down to the nearest whole dollar.5 Id. In that proposed rulemaking, the VA stated: [U]nder 38 U.S.C. 1722A, VA may not require a veteran to pay an amount in excess of the actual cost of the medication and the pharmacy administrative costs related to the dispensing of the medication. [The Veterans Health Administration] conducted a study of the pharmacy administrative costs relating to the dispensing of medication on an outpatient basis and found that VA incurred a cost of $7.28 to dispense an outpatient medication even without consideration of the actual cost of the medication. This amount covers the cost of consultation time, filling time, dispensing time, an 5 The proposed rule would increase copayments according to a set formula. As the VA stated: For each calendar year beginning after December 31, 2002, the [prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index] as of the previous September 30 will be divided by the Index as of September 30, 2001. The ratio so obtained will be multiplied by the original copayment amount of $7. The copayment amount for the new calendar year will be this result, rounded down to the whole dollar amount. Copayments for Medications, 66 Fed. Reg. at 36,961. HEINO v. DVA 8 appropriate share of the direct and indirect personnel costs, physical overhead and materials, and supply costs. Under these circumstances, we believe that a $7 copayment would not exceed VA’s costs. Id. at 36,961 (emphasis added). The VA further stated that “based on commensurate increased costs to VA, we believe that VA’s costs would remain higher than the increases made by the escalator provisions.” Id. Following a notice-and-comment period, the VA issued a final rule implementing the proposed rule, which was codified as 38 C.F.R. § 17.110. In finalizing the rule, the VA stated: Many recent newspaper articles have reported dramatic increases throughout the health care industry for medication copayment amounts which are reflective of increases in medication costs. Accordingly, even with the increase we may have one of the lowest copayment amounts. Under these circumstances, we believe that a $7 copayment amount is reasonable. Further, we believe that increases should be based on the Prescription Drug Component of the Medical Consumer Price Index since it is most relevant to the cost of prescriptions and thereby should be relevant to any general increases in medication copayments in the private sector. Copayments for Medications, 66 Fed. Reg. 63,449 (Dec. 6, 2001). In response to commenters that stated “they would return to private-sector health care if the copayment were increased,” the VA stated that it believed its copayments HEINO v. DVA 9 were “still on the low end of the private-sector copayment scale.”6 Id. at 63,450. B. This court has limited jurisdiction to review appeals from the Veterans Court. We lack jurisdiction to review factual determinations outside of constitutional claims, but can review questions of law. 38 U.S.C. § 7292(d). We review the Veterans Court’s interpretation of a statute de novo. Boggs v. Peake, 520 F.3d 1330, 1334 (Fed. Cir. 2008). Under applicable law, the VA may not charge a veteran a copayment “in excess of the cost to the Secretary 6 Effective January 2006, the VA increased the copayment amount from $7 to $8 pursuant to the escalator provision. Copayment for Medication, 70 Fed. Reg. 72,326 (Dec. 2, 2005). In December 2009, the VA issued a temporary “freeze” on the copayment amount at $8 to “determine whether the current methodology for establishing copayment amounts, consistent with [VA’s] responsibility under 38 U.S.C. § 1722A to require a copayment in order to control health-care costs, is appropriate for all veterans.” Copayments for Medications, 74 Fed. Reg. 69,283, 69,283-69,284 (Dec. 31, 2009). In 2010, the VA extended the $8 copayment freeze until January 1, 2012 for veterans in enrollment priority categories 2 through 6 but increased the copayment amount to $9 for veterans in priority categories 7 and 8. Copayments for Medications After June 30, 2010, 75 Fed. Reg. 32,670, 32,670-32,671 (June 9, 2010); see 38 C.F.R. § 17.36 (establishing order of priority). Most recently, the VA again extended the $8 copayment freeze for priority categories 2 through 6 until 2013 but did not freeze copayments for veterans in priority categories 7 and 8, which are permitted to increase according to the escalator provision. Copayments for Medications in 2012, 76 Fed. Reg. 78,824, 78,824-78,825 (Dec. 20, 2011). HEINO v. DVA 10 for medication described in [section 1722A(a)(1)].” 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(2). The dispute in this case lies in the meaning of that phrase. In reviewing the VA’s copayment scheme, we must apply a Chevron analysis, which requires two steps. First, we must determine “whether Congress has directly spoken to the precise question at issue.” Chevron, 467 U.S. at 842. In this case, the “precise question at issue” is whether “the cost to the Secretary for medication,” 38 U.S.C.§ 1722A(a)(2), refers to only the actual cost of medication or may also refer to administrative costs. “If the intent of Congress is clear, that is the end of the matter . . . .” Chevron, 467 U.S. at 842-43. However, if “Congress has not directly addressed the precise question at issue,” we must, second, determine if the VA’s copayment regulation is “based on a permissible construction of the statute.” Id. at 843. 1. In order to determine whether a statute clearly shows the intent of Congress in a Chevron step-one analysis, we employ traditional tools of statutory construction and examine “the statute’s text, structure, and legislative history, and apply the relevant canons of interpretation.” Delverde, SrL v. United States, 202 F.3d 1360, 1363 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Beginning with the statute’s text, Mr. Heino argues that “the cost” referred to in section 1722A(a)(2) should be afforded its plain meaning, which he contends is the actual cost of medication given that several dictionary definitions equate “cost” to a purchase price. Mr. Heino further contends that the statute refers to a singular (“the”) and specific (“cost”) amount, which he argues can only be what VA paid for the medication itself. However, a term as general as the word “cost” in section 1722A does not have a single plain meaning. See Webster’s Ninth HEINO v. DVA 11 New Collegiate Dictionary 295 (1986) (defining “cost” as “a: the amount or equivalent paid or charged for something: PRICE” as well as “b: the outlay or expenditure (as of effort or sacrifice) made to achieve an object”); Random House Unabridged Dictionary 457 (2d ed. 1993) (defining “cost” as “1. the price paid to acquire, produce, accomplish, or maintain anything: the high cost of a good meal. 2. an outlay or expenditure of money, time, labor, trouble, etc.: What will the cost be to me?”). Thus, the plain meaning of the term “the cost” in section 1722A(a)(2) is ambiguous and does not reveal congressional intent. See Verizon Commc’ns, Inc. v. FCC, 535 U.S. 467, 500 (2002) (“without any better indication of meaning than the unadorned term, the word ‘cost’ in [47 U.S.C. § 252(d)(1)], as in accounting generally, is ‘a chameleon,’ . . . a ‘virtually meaningless’ term”) (quoting Strickland v. Comm’r, Me. Dep’t of Human Servs., 96 F.3d 542, 546 (1st Cir. 1996)). Section 1722A’s structure further demonstrates how the statute is ambiguous. “[T]he cost to the Secretary for medication” in section 1722A(a)(2) is that “described in paragraph (1),” which is a “30-day supply of medication furnished such veteran under this chapter on an outpatient basis for the treatment of a non-service-connected disability or condition.” 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(1). Mr. Heino argues that subsection (a)(2) relates only to a veteran’s “supply of medication” and that because a veteran is only supplied with his or her actual medication, the intended “cost” in subsection (a)(2) can only be the actual cost of medication. However, as the Veterans Court found, it is not clear that section 1722A(a)(2) only refers to “the cost” of a veteran’s “supply of medication” and may also refer to “the cost” to “furnish[]” veterans with medication. Heino, 24 Vet. App. at 374 (“The costs of furnishing the 30–day supply of the medication implies HEINO v. DVA 12 that the cost of the medication also includes the costs incurred for providing or getting the pills into the hands of the veterans—the administrative costs associated with dispensing of the medication.”). Similarly, the legislative history surrounding section 1722A does not clarify the meaning of “the cost to the Secretary for medication.” 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(2). When Congress passed then section 622A(a)(2) (now section 1722A(a)(2)) in 1990, it was silent with respect to what “cost” was being referenced. Neither the 1990 Act, Pub. L. No. 101-508, § 8012, 104 Stat. 1388, nor the House Conference Report accompanying the Act, H.R. Rep. No. 101- 964, at 2693-94 (1990) (Conf. Rep.), discuss what Congress may have meant with regard to section 1722A(a)(2).7 Finally, relevant canons of construction do not reveal a clear congressional intent for the phrase “the cost to the Secretary for medication.” 38 U.S.C. § 1722A(a)(2). Mr. Heino argues that if Congress intended various “administrative costs” to be encompassed by section 1722A(a)(2) it would have said so expressly, as it has done elsewhere. 7 The Veterans Court cited legislative history from the 1999 amendment to section 1722A to support its interpretation of section 1722A(a)(2), which was enacted in 1990 and has never been amended. Heino, 24 Vet. App. at 374 (citing H.R. Rep. No. 106-237, § 201, 106th Cong., 1st Sess. (July 16, 1999) (to accompany H.R. 2116)). Although the Veterans Court’s interpretation of section 1722A(a)(2) was correct, statements made nine years after a statute was enacted shed little light on an earlier statute’s meaning. See Huffman v. Office of Pers. Mgmt., 263 F.3d 1341, 1354 (Fed. Cir. 2001) (“post-enactment statements made in the legislative history of the 1994 amendment have no bearing on our determination of the legislative intent of the drafters of the 1978 and 1989 legislation”). HEINO v. DVA 13 See, e.g., 38 U.S.C. § 2306(e)(3)(B) (the VA requires a veteran’s survivors, in some circumstances, to “pay the amount of the administrative costs incurred by the Secretary” in providing an outer burial receptacle, among other costs). It is well settled that “[w]here Congress includes particular language in one section of a statute but omits it in another section of the same Act, it is generally presumed that Congress acts intentionally and purportedly in the disparate inclusion or exclusion.” Russello v. United States, 464 U.S. 16, 23 (1983) (quoting United States v. Wong Kim Bo, 472 F.2d 720, 722 (5th Cir. 1972)). However, the statutes Mr. Heino cites to support his argument are neither part of section 1722A nor neighboring statutes. See Sioux Honey Ass’n v. Hartford Fire Ins. Co., 672 F.3d 1041, 1052 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (citing Russello and looking to Congress’s use of the term “jurisdiction” in 28 U.S.C. §§ 1581-1584 to determine the meaning of a term in 28 U.S.C. § 1585). Therefore, the presumption Mr. Heino relies upon is not applicable in this case because section 1722A and the statutes he cites are entirely different Acts.8 8 Mr. Heino further argues that the veteran’s canon of construction, which states that “interpretive doubt is to be resolved in the veteran’s favor,” resolves any ambiguity in section 1722A(a)(2) in his favor. Brown v. Gardner, 513 U.S. 115, 118 (1994). It is not clear where the Brown canon fits within the Chevron doctrine, or whether it should be part of the Chevron analysis at all. Compare Nielson v. Shinseki, 607 F.3d 802, 808 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (stating that the Brown canon “is only applicable after other interpretive guidelines have been exhausted, including Chevron”), with Disabled Am. Veterans v. Gober, 234 F.3d 684, 692, 694 (Fed. Cir. 2000) (stating that the Brown canon “modif[ies] the traditional Chevron analysis”). Regardless, Mr. Heino asks this court to resolve “interpretive doubt” in his favor by holding that there is no doubt as to what “the cost to the Secretary” could HEINO v. DVA 14 Thus, after employing traditional tools of statutory construction, we hold that Congress has not directly spoken to the precise question of whether “the cost to the Secretary for medication” refers to only the actual cost of medication or may also refer to administrative costs. 2. When a statute is silent or ambiguous and implicitly delegates to an agency on a particular question, “the question for the court is whether the agency’s answer is based on a permissible construction of the statute.” Chevron, 467 U.S. at 843. In such a circumstance, the agency’s interpretation of a statutory term “governs if it is a reasonable interpretation of the statute—not necessarily the only possible interpretation, nor even the interpretation deemed most reasonable by the courts.” Entergy Corp. v. Riverkeeper, Inc., 556 U.S. 208, 218 (2009) (emphasis in original). Mr. Heino argues that even if the phrase “the cost to the Secretary” is ambiguous and could encompass the actual cost of medication as well as the administrative cost associated with dispensing medication, the VA’s copayment regulation is unreasonable because it is not linked to the actual cost of medication provided to the veteran. Rather, the VA’s regulation allows the agency to charge a copayment based on generalized and averaged calculations. Moreover, Mr. Heino takes issue with the VA’s reliance on the Consumer Price Index as a means to raise copayments because, Appellant argues, the cost of some medication may not rise with inflation. Mr. Heino believes that the VA’s reliance on the Index completely mean. However, we will not hold a statute unambiguous by resorting to a tool of statutory construction used to analyze ambiguous statutes. HEINO v. DVA 15 untethers the copayment regulation from the VA’s realworld costs as copayments rise according to an algorithm. We hold that the VA’s copayment regulation, 38 C.F.R. § 17.110, is reasonable in light of section 1722A and therefore valid. Given the ambiguous nature of the word “cost” in section 1722A(a)(2), it was reasonable for the VA to conclude that the statute prohibits the Secretary from charging veterans a copayment “in excess of the actual cost of the medication and the pharmacy administrative costs related to the dispensing of the medication.” 66 Fed. Reg. at 36,961 (emphasis added). The VA has reasonably calculated its cost to determine it does not charge a veteran in excess of the cost to the Secretary for medication. The VA estimates that its national average administrative cost for dispensing prescription drugs is $12.39 for calendar year 2012. Prescription Drugs Not Administered During Treatment; Update to Administrative Cost for Calendar Year 2012, 77 Fed. Reg. 19,425 (March 30, 2012). Yet, the VA currently does not charge any veteran more than a $9 copayment under the regulation, and many copayments are currently frozen at $8. See 38 C.F.R. § 17.110; 76 Fed. Reg. 78,824, 78,824-78,825 (Dec. 20, 2011). Thus, the VA’s regulation does not charge a veteran “in excess” of the average administrative costs associated with a veteran’s prescription, let alone the combined administrative and actual cost of a prescription. As a result, the VA’s copayment regulation is reasonable in light of the statute’s ambiguity. It is also reasonable for the VA to base copayments on the average administrative cost associated with dispensing medication, as opposed to the administrative cost associated with each individual’s supply of medication. Congress stated that it was granting the VA “relatively broad discretion” to raise copayments so long as the increases the VA made were reasonable. H.R. Rep. No. HEINO v. DVA 16 106-237, at 41-42. We find nothing unreasonable in the VA’s choice not to base copayments on the exact calculated administrative cost associated with each veteran’s prescription, but rather on an average administrative cost. Indeed, as the Government points out, charging copayments based on an average administrative cost without taking into account the actual cost of a veteran’s medication was a way to ensure the VA remained an attractive medical provider to all veterans, not just those whose medication is cheap or entails a low administrative cost. Appellee Br. at 49; see also Oral Argument at 15:45 – 16:33, Heino v. Shinseki, No. 2011-7160, available at http://www.cafc.uscourts.gov/oral-argumentrecordings/ all/heino.html; 66 Fed. Reg. at 63,449 (considering copayment costs for other competitive plans). Moreover, the VA’s choice to increase copayments with the Medical Consumer Price Index is reasonable in light of section 1722A. After the VA set its base copayment to $7, an amount below what the agency calculated its administrative cost alone to be, the copayment regulation rises only when inflation, as measured by the prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index, increases a full dollar. 38 C.F.R. § 17.110. Such a program certainly reflects the “reasonable copayment increases” contemplated by Congress. H.R. Rep. No. 106- 237, at 42. Although Mr. Heino argues that the price of some prescriptions may not rise with inflation, given the VA’s “relatively broad discretion” to enact copayment regulations, H.R. Rep. No. 106-237, at 43, it was reasonable for the VA to rely on the Medical Consumer Price Index. Finally, looking to the purpose of section 1722A as a whole, it is clear the VA’s copayment regulation is reasonable. The purpose of section 1722A is to allow the VA to recoup some of the cost of its benefit program while HEINO v. DVA 17 ensuring that the VA does not charge so much as “to result in veterans not seeking needed care and services . . . .” Id. The current regulation keeps copayments to a minimum by not charging veterans for the actual cost of their medication, 66 Fed. Reg. at 36,961, and charging a copayment below the VA’s calculated administrative cost, 77 Fed. Reg. at 19,425. Moreover, the VA increases copayments only with inflation and has sought to reexamine its procedures to ensure that the VA continues to be an attractive medication provider. See 74 Fed. Reg. 69,283, 69,283-69,284 (freezing many copayments at $8 to determine whether increases in copayments under the prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index “might pose a significant financial hardship for certain veterans and if so, what alternative approach would provide appropriate relief for these veterans”). These measures adequately fulfill Congress’s charge and therefore the VA’s copayment regulation is reasonable. III. For the reasons discussed above, we affirm the Veterans Court’s decision. AFFIRMED No Costs. United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit __________________________ WILLIAM H. HEINO, SR., Claimant-Appellant, v. ERIC K. SHINSEKI, SECRETARY OF VETERANS AFFAIRS, Respondent-Appellee. __________________________ 2011-7160 __________________________ Appeal from the United States Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims in Case No. 09-112, Judge William A. Moorman. ___________________________ PLAGER, Circuit Judge, concurring. The statute at issue (38 U.S.C. § 1722A) is entitled “Copayment for Medications.” Subsection (a)(1) specifies a copayment to be paid by veterans “for each 30-day supply of medication furnished such veteran . . . for the treatment of a . . . condition.” The court in its opinion here recognizes that “medication” refers to the prescribed pills or tablets themselves, as distinct from any associated administrative cost. See Maj. Op. at 3, n.3. Nevertheless, based on this statute the VA charges veterans a copayment calculated not on the actual cost of a veteran’s individual medications or even an overall HEINO v. DVA 2 average of actual costs for the medications VA dispenses, but on the overall average of administrative costs the VA incurs in dispensing the medications. Then, to further complicate the matter, the VA adjusts that copayment for inflation by using the prescription drug component of the Medical Consumer Price Index. What are we to make of this? Judge Hagel, dissenting in the decision of the Veterans Court in this case, and Mr. Heino are both of the view that the statute is plain and unambiguous and means the actual cost of the medications, not the cost to administer them; and so it would seem. Mr. Heino would like his co-payment to be based only on his particular medicine, and then only the quantity of it that he takes. But the administrative complications that practice would introduce can only be imagined, given the several billion dollars worth of drugs that pass through the VA each year. Whatever may be the case for the individual medications themselves, the VA can reasonably approximate its annual administrative cost for dispensing medications, and roughly bases individual copayments on that number averaged among its medical beneficiaries, though in recent years, for policy reasons, it has held that number from increasing. See id. at 9, n.6. With a creative bit of definitional construction and Chevron analysis, we conclude that what the VA does is legitimate; this avoids throwing the VA co-payment system into total chaos, and probably is, in a broad sense, consistent with what Congress thought the VA should be doing. Even so, to clear itself from further challenges, the VA might want to either re-jigger its methodology to base it on the calculated cost of medications—no doubt arriving at a similar co-payment number—or get Congress to add consideration of administrative costs to the statute.

Panel Application of Buczynski and Kahana, 24 Vet.App. at 428(2011)

Excerpt from decision below: "Finally, the appellant correctly noted at oral The majority believes that its analysis here is entirely consistent with the framework that our dissenting colleague has so elegantly set forth in Buczynski and in Kahana v. Shinseki, 24 Vet.App. 428 (2011). In both cases, it is clear that, as a general matter, the absence of evidence is not substantive negative evidence. While the majority agrees that this is not an absolute rule, there must be "a proper foundation . . . to demonstrate that such silence has a tendency to prove or disprove a relevant fact." Post at 3. Both cases reference Federal Rule of Evidence 803(7), to the effect that "the absence of an entry in a record may be evidence against the existence of a fact if such a fact would ordinarily be recorded." Buczynski, 24 Vet.App. at 224; Kahana, 24 Vet.App. at 440 (Lance, J., concurring). Here there is no evidentiary foundation, or even a logical reason to suppose, that in the context of treatment by a corpsman or other service medical personnel, aggravation of a preexisting condition would ordinarily be considered, much less recorded. The dissent also relies on Maxson, supra, to argue that the lack of postservice treatment records can be considered when determining whether a preexisting condition was aggravated during service. Maxson does state that the lack of treatment records can be considered along with other relevant factors, including the "nature and course of the disease or disability, the amount of time that elapsed since military service, and any other relevant facts." Id. at 1333. Here, the problem is that the record is bereft of any evidence concerning the nature and course of Legg-Perthes disease. Without independent medical evidence regarding the nature and course of the appellant's condition, the Court is left to speculate as to the significance of the lack of postservice treatment for the condition. The appellant further argues that the fact he was discharged from service after a clean entrance examination constitutes prima facie evidence of an increase in disability. He reasons that because there is no evidence of the natural progression of the disease, he is entitled to a finding of aggravation. Because the MEB report found him medically fit for retention, however, the mere fact of discharge does not necessarily constitute evidence of worsening. Neither does this finding constitute evidence against aggravation, however, as the dissent suggests. Post at 1-2. The record indicates that the appellant no longer met the procurement standards for induction into the armed services (R. at 234). If anything, the change in the PULHES rating from "1" at enlistment to "P3" at separation (R. at 221) would tend to indicate a worsening of the hip condition. The PULHES system teaches that a soldier may continue in military service under a 8 7 10 argument that there was no evidence of the degree of severity of his Legg-Perthes condition between its first diagnosis when he was age six and the development of pain when he was in basic training. The Board therefore had no basis for assuming that the notations of hip pain in the SMRs did not signal worsening or increase in severity. ============================ ---------------------------------------------------- UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR VETERANS CLAIMS NO. 10-0853 DALE S. HORN, APPELLANT, v. ERIC K. SHINSEKI, SECRETARY OF VETERANS AFFAIRS, APPELLEE. On Appeal from the Board of Veterans' Appeals (Argued March 27, 2012 Decided June 21, 2012 ) Kenneth M. Carpenter of Topeka, Kansas, for the appellant. Ronen Morris and Carolyn F. Washington, Deputy Assistant General Counsel, with whom Will A. Gunn, General Counsel, R. Randall Campbell, Assistant General Counsel, and Thomas C. Earp, Appellate Attorney, were on the brief, all of Washington, D.C., for the appellee. Before LANCE, DAVIS and SCHOELEN, Judges. DAVIS, Judge, filed the opinion of the Court. LANCE, Judge, filed a dissenting opinion. DAVIS, Judge: U.S. Armyveteran Dale S. Horn appeals through counsel from a November 18, 2009, Board of Veterans' Appeals (Board) decision that denied service connection for a left hip disorder. The Board acknowledged and the parties agree that the appellant's induction examination report noted no hip condition and therefore the presumption of soundness applies. The principal issue before the panel is whether a medical examination board (MEB) report containing only an unexplained "X" in a box on a form can constitute clear and unmistakable evidence of lack of aggravation. For the following reasons, the Court holds that such evidence is insufficient to rebut the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness. Accordingly, the Court will reverse the Board's November 2009 decision insofar as it pertains to the rebuttal of the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness and remand the claim for a hip condition for further proceedings consistent with this decision. I. BACKGROUND The appellant had one month and three weeks of active duty service, from October 1, 1970, to November 24, 1970. His induction examination report included no indication of any hip condition or other defect of the lower extremities. The report indicated that he was fit for induction and gave the highest rating in each of the PULHES categories1 except his eyesight. During the first three weeks of basic training, however, he complained of left hip pain. In a report dated October 29, 1970, Army physicians diagnosed Legg-Calve- Perthes disease2 (hereinafter Legg-Perthes disease) and recommended a medical evaluation board (MEB) "for consideration of separation from the Service under the provisions of AR 635-200," which pertains to "Separation for Convenience of the Government." Record (R.) at 234. The MEB report, dated November 17, 1970, stated that the appellant was medically fit for retention under then-current medical fitness standards, but diagnosed Legg-Perthes disease, indicating with an "X" that the condition existed prior to service and was not aggravated byactive duty. See R. at 230. The medical board also recommended separation under "UPAR 635-200, chapter 5" (R. at 231), and the appellant's Form DD-214, Certificate of Release or Discharge from Active Duty, confirms that separation was under this provision. PULHESisaratingsystemwidelyemployedbyarmed servicesphysiciansinexaminationreportsforinduction and separation. The "P" stands for "physical capacity or stamina"; the "U" for "upper extremities"; the "L" for "lower extremities"; the "H" for "hearing and ear"; the "E" for "eyes"; and the " S" for "psychiatric." See McIntosh v. Brown, 4 Vet.App. 553, 555 (1993). A rating of "1" in any of the six categories, the highest rating, means that the inductee's condition in that category should not result in any limitations in military assignments. Id. Ratings from "2" to "4" indicate the existence of physical conditions that will result in progressively more severe restrictions on the assignments that the inductee may be given. Id. "Legg-Calve-Perthes disease" is "osteochondrosis of the capitular epiphysis of the femur." DORLAND'S ILLUSTRATEDMEDICALDICTIONARY 537 (32d ed. 2012). An "epiphysis" is "the expanded articular end of a long bone." Id. at 634. The "capital epiphysis" is "the epiphysis at the head of a long bone." Id. "Osteochondrosis" is "a disease of the growth or ossification centers in children that begins as degeneration or necrosis and is followed by regeneration or recalcification." Id. at 1345. 2 1 2 This case was before the Court previously but was dismissed pursuant to a joint motion for remand (JMR). In the JMR, the parties agreed that remand was in order so that the Board could properly analyze the case under the presumption of soundness. II. CONTROLLING LAW A. The Presumption of Soundness "[E]very veteran shall be taken to have been in sound condition when examined, accepted, and enrolled for service, except as to defects, infirmities, or disorders noted at the time of the examination, acceptance, and enrollment . . . ."3 38 U.S.C. § 1111; see also 38 C.F.R. § 3.304(b) (2011) (implementing regulation for section 1111). Therefore, when no preexisting medical condition is noted upon entryinto service, a veteran is presumed to have been sound in everyrespect. See Wagner v. Principi, 370 F.3d 1089, 1096 (Fed. Cir. 2004); Bagby v. Derwinski, 1 Vet.App. 225, 227 (1991). The burden then falls on VA to rebut the presumption of soundness by clear and unmistakable evidence that an injury or disease manifested in service was both preexisting and not aggravated by service. See 38 U.S.C. § 1111 ("or where clear and unmistakable evidence demonstrates that the injury or disease existed before acceptance and enrollment and was not aggravated by service"); Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096; Bagby, 1 Vet.App. at 227. This statutory provision is referred to as the "presumption of soundness," the rebuttal of which requires proof both as to preexistence (the preexistence prong) and lack of aggravation (the aggravation prong). There is a related but distinctly different statutory provision that pertains to cases in which a preexisting condition is noted on an entrance examination and the claimant contends that this condition was aggravated in service.4 This provision is known as the "presumption of aggravation." "Historyofpreserviceexistenceofconditionsrecorded atthetimeof[entrance] examinationdoesnotconstitute a notation of such conditions but will be considered together with all other material evidence in determinations as to inception." 38 C.F.R. § 3.304(b)(1) (2011). "A preexisting injury or disease will be considered to have been aggravated by active military, naval, or air service, where there is an increase in disability during service, unless there is a specific finding that the increase in disability is due to the natural progress of the disease." 38 U.S.C. § 1153. 4 3 3 Clear and unmistakable evidence means that the evidence "'cannot be misinterpreted and misunderstood, i.e., it is undebatable.'" Quirin v. Shinseki, 22 Vet.App. 390, 396 (2009) (citing Vanersonv.West,12Vet.App.254,258-59(1999)).5 Theclear-and-unmistakable-evidencestandard is an "onerous" one. Laposky v. Brown, 4 Vet.App. 331, 334 (1993) (citing Akins v. Derwinski, 1 Vet.App. 228, 232 (1991)); see also Vanerson, 12 Vet.App. at 263 ( Nebeker, C.J., concurring in part and dissenting in part) ("[O]nly an inference that is iron clad and copper riveted can be 'unmistakable.'"). If there is clear and unmistakable evidence to show that the veteran's disability was both preexisting and not aggravated by service, then the veteran is not entitled to service- connected benefits for the preexisting condition. Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096. Once the presumption of soundness applies, the burden of proof remains with the Secretary on both the preexistence and the aggravation prong; it never shifts back to the claimant. In particular, even when there is clear and unmistakable evidence of preexistence, the claimant need not produce any evidence of aggravation in order to prevail under the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness. See Routen v. West, 142 F.3d 1434, 1440 (Fed. Cir. 1998) ("When the predicate evidence is established that triggers the presumption, the further evidentiary gap is filled by the presumption."). In presumption of soundness cases, the Secretary may show a lack of aggravation by establishing, with clear and unmistakable evidence, that there was no increase in disability during service or that any "increase in disability [was] due to the natural progress" of the preexisting condition. See Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096. In Wagner, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (Federal Circuit) concluded that the term "aggravation" has the same meaning in sections 1111 (presumption of soundness) and 1153 (presumption of aggravation). Id. Although the same word "aggravation" has a common meaning in both instances, this linguistic overlap does not signal that the presumption of aggravation in Section 1153, with its attendant burden of proof rules, is The Court notes that the Secretary's regulation employs the phrase " obvious or manifest" to describe his interpretation of clear and unmistakable evidence. See 38 C.F.R. § 3.304( a). The Secretary does not argue that this standard differs from the characterization of "undebatable" that the Court has advanced and confirmed in its precedents. In fact, he concedes that the evidence underlying a determination as to preexistence and lack of aggravation must be undebatable. See Secretary's Brief at 3. The Court perceives no divergence in the standards. 5 4 triggered in presumption of soundness cases once preexistence of the injury or disease has been established.6 Rather, the aggravation analysis proceeds under the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness. As such, the burden is not on the claimant to show that his disability increased in severity; rather, it is on VA to establish byclear and unmistakable evidence that it did not or that any increase was due to the natural progress of the disease. Therefore, VA may not rest on the notion that the record contains insufficient evidence of aggravation. Instead, VA must rely on affirmative evidence to prove that there was no aggravation. If the Secretary fails to produce clear and unmistakable evidence of lack of aggravation, the claimant is entitled to a finding of in-service aggravation of the preexisting condition. B. Standard and Scope of Review TheCourt reviewsdenovoaBoarddecisionconcerningtheadequacyoftheevidenceoffered to rebut the presumption of soundness, while giving deferential treatment to the Board's underlying factual findings and determinations of credibility. Miller v. West, 11 Vet. App. 345, 347 (1998); see also Quirin, 22 Vet.App. at 396. One example of a factual determination the Board might make is whether the condition in question was noted on the entrance examination report. The scope of the Court's de novo review whether the presumption has been rebutted extends beyond the findings of the Board to all the evidence of record. See Vanerson, 12 Vet.App. at 261 (pre-Wagner case) ("[T]he question is . . . whether the evidence as a whole, clearlyand unmistakably demonstrates that the injury or disease existed prior to service."); see also Kinnaman v. Principi, 4 Vet.App. 20, 27 (1993) (Court reviewed evidence that the Board did not discuss in concluding that the presumption had not been rebutted); but see Crowe v. Brown, 7 Vet.App. 238, 246 (1995) (indicating that the Court undertakes "an independent examination of whether the facts found bythe [Board] satisfactorily rebut the presumption of sound condition"); Junstrom v. Brown, 6 Vet.App. An important distinction between section 1111's aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness and section 1153's presumption of aggravation is the burden of proof. Under section 1111, the burden is on the Government to show by clear and unmistakable evidence that there was no increase in disability in service or, that any increase was due to the natural progress of the disease. Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096. Under section 1153, however, the appellant bears the burden of showing that his preexisting condition worsened in service. Id. Once the veteran establishes worsening, the burden shifts to the Secretary to show by clear and unmistakable evidence that the worsening of the condition was due to the natural progress of the disease. Id. 6 5 264, 266 (1994) ("[T]his Court is required to make an independent determination of whether the facts found by the [Board] satisfactorily rebut the presumption of soundness."). C. The Role of the Presumption of Soundness in Determining Service Connection Generally, in order to establish service connection for a present disability, "the veteran must show (1) the existence of a present disability; (2) in-service incurrence or aggravation of a disease or injury; and (3) a causal relationship between the present disability and the disease or injury incurred or aggravated during service." Shedden v. Principi, 381 F.3d 1163, 1166-67 (Fed. Cir. 2004). The presumption of soundness relates to the second requirement–the showing of in-service incurrence or aggravation of a disease or injury. See Holton v. Shinseki, 557 F.3d 1362, 1367 (Fed. Cir. 2009); see also Maxson v. West, 12 Vet.App. 453, 460 (1999) ( application of presumption of aggravation satisfies incurrence or aggravation element). In order to invoke the presumption of soundness, a claimant must show that he or she suffered from a disease or injury while in service. Holton, 557 F.3d at 1367. Thereafter, except for conditions noted at induction, the presumption of soundness ordinarilyoperates to satisfy the second Shedden requirement without further proof. The presumption may be rebutted, however, as described above. The presumption of soundness strongly favors the conclusion that any occurrence of injury or disease during service establishes that the in-service medical problems were incurred in the line of duty, that is, during active service and not as a result of the service member's own misconduct. See id. at 1367. When VA fails to carry its burden as to either preexistence or lack of aggravation, "whether and to what extent the veteran [is] entitled to compensation for the injury would be determined upon the assumption that the injury was incurred during service ." Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1094. It does not necessarily follow, however, that an unrebutted presumption of soundness will lead to service connection for the disease or injury. The appellant must still demonstrate a current disability and a nexus between his current disability and the injury or disease in service. See Holton, 557 F.3d at 1367; Dye v. Mansfield, 504 F.3d 1289, 1292-93 (Fed. Cir. 2007 ) (affirming this Court's finding that the presumption of soundness does not eliminate the need to demonstrate a causal connection between a veteran's current condition and his in-service injury). 6 III. ANALYSIS A. The Preexistence Prong of the Presumption of Soundness Therecordisrepletewith medicalrecordsindicatingthattheappellant's Legg- Perthesdisease was a condition diagnosed during his childhood, when he was approximately age six. A service medical record (SMR) dated October 23, 1970, noted that the appellant had been complaining of left thigh pain for at least two weeks and had "Hx [history] of Perthes Dz [ disease]." R. at 261. This SMR further noted that he was x-rayed and another document of the same date, which may be the request for x-ray, notes "Hx [history of Leg[g] Perthes disease since he was [six] years old." R. at 256. The medical report recommending an MEB evaluation states: "Patient gives a Hx [history] of Legg Perthes disease since he was [six years] old." R. at 234. Finally, a report dated August 16, 2006, from a Dr. Potter of the Texas Department of Criminal Justice noted that the appellant had been incarcerated since 1985 and noted various complaints of pain associated with Legg-Perthes disease. Among its other notations, the report states that in April 1991 the appellant "claimed a life long deformity of the left femoral head and requested pain control." R. at 170. The record also contains some clinical evidence that tends to support a finding that the condition preexisted service. An x-ray report, furnished in response to an October 29, 1970, request states: "Severe deformity of left [illegible] and femoral head consistent with old Legg[-]Perthes disease." R. at 232. An x-ray report dated February 8, 1985, notes "an old deformity of the femoral head and neck compatible with an old Legg-Perthes disease." R. at 153. Another x-ray report, for x-rays taken on or about January 27, 1989, notes "flattening of the left femoral head and shortening of the left femoral neck . . . probably secondary to Legg-Perthes [d] isease as a child." R. at 157. Another x-ray report generated in November 1989, by the same medical facility, reports essentially the same evaluation. See R. at 159. After reiterating this evidence, the Board found that there was clear and unmistakable evidence that the appellant's Legg-Perthes disease preexisted service. The Board cited Jandreau v. Nicholson, 492 F.3d 1372 (Fed. Cir. 2007), for the proposition that a lay statement is competent evidence to report a contemporaneous diagnosis. See R. at 11. The appellant argues that the evidence of record does not rise to the level of clear and unmistakable evidence. He asserts that the only clinical evidence is an x- ray report stating that the 7 hip condition was "consistent with" old Legg-Perthes disease, which is inferential evidence at best. He further argues that none of the in-service medical reports fulfill the requirements of 38 C.F.R. § 3.304(b) for detailed medical analysis relating all medical and other known facts to accepted medical principles, including those regarding the character and course of the disease. This Court has previouslyconcluded, however, that, "as a matter of law , . . . the presumption of soundness [could be] . . . rebutted by clear and unmistakable evidence consisting of [the] appellant's own admissions . . . of a preservice [disability]." Doran v. Brown, 6 Vet.App. 283, 286 (1994). The Federal Circuit favorably cited Doran, and stated that a later medical opinion based on statements made by the veteran about the preservice history of his condition may be sufficient to rebut the preexistence prong of the presumption of soundness, notwithstanding the lack of contemporaneous clinical evidence or recorded history. See Harris v. West, 203 F.3d 1347, 1349 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Thus, in the absence of anycontention that the appellant nevermade the statements attributed to him, those statements alone may rebut the preexistence prong of the presumption of soundness. The other evidence of record only reinforces the appellant's statements as to the onset of the disease. The in-service medical records indicate that the condition of the appellant's hip was consistent with an old, rather than a recentlydeveloped, Legg-Perthe's disease. Additionally, during his incarceration the appellant referred to a lifelong difficulty with a hip deformity. See R. at 96, 1558. Thus, the Court agrees with the Board that the evidence of record constitutes clear and unmistakableevidencethattheappellant's Legg-Perthesdiseasepreexisted service. Thatconclusion, however, does not end the analysis. B. The Aggravation Prong of the Presumption of Soundness The Board began its discussion of the law of aggravation with an excursion into the provisions concerning the presumption of aggravation. A preexisting injury or disease will be considered to have been aggravated by active service where there is an increase in disability during such service, unless there is a specific finding that the increase in disability is due to the natural progress of the disease. 38 U.S.C.A. § 1153; 38 C.F.R. § 3.306(a). Clear and unmistakable (obvious or manifest) evidence is required to rebut the presumption of aggravation where the pre-service disability underwent an increase in severity during service on the basis of all the evidence of record pertaining to the manifestations of the disability prior to, during, and subsequent to service. 38 C.F.R. § 3.306(b). 8 R. at 7-8. As noted previously, however, neither the presumption of aggravation of section 1153 nor the regulation implementing that statutory provision, § 3.306, has any application to an analysis under the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness in section 1111. These provisions apply to only one situation: where the induction examination notes a preexisting condition that is alleged to have been aggravated. See Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096 ("[I]f a preexisting disorder is noted upon entry into service . . . the veteran may bring a claim for service- connected aggravation of that disorder. In that case section 1153 applies and the burden falls on the veteran to establish aggravation." (emphasis added)). When the presumption of soundness applies, however, the burden remains on the Secretary to prove lack of aggravation and the claimant has no burden to produce evidence of aggravation. In conflating these two provisions, the Board failed to recognize the Secretary's burden to prove lack of aggravation. The Board began its analysis by noting "that there is no competent evidence of worsening of the Veteran's preexisting hip disorder during his verybrief period of active service from October 1, 1970, to November 24, 1970." R. at 11. The Board further noted that "[s]ervice treatment records are entirely negative for findings or reports of left hip injury during service." Id. Additionally, the Board found it significant that "the report of Medical Board proceedings includes contemporaneous in-service medical opinion evidence by a physician that the Veteran's Legg-Perthes disease was not aggravated during service." Id. Preliminarily, the Court notes that there is no requirement of a specific injury or trauma in order for the preexisting condition to have been aggravated. Rather, service connection may be awarded for any aggravation of a preexisting disease or injury during service. See 38 C.F.R. § 3.303(a) (2011). It is lack of aggravation that the Secretary must prove, not lack of an injury. Our dissenting colleague encroaches on the role of a physician when he suggests that "the absence of an in-service injury tends to make it less likely that [the appellant's] condition was aggravated than if he had injured his left hip in service." Dissent at 2. There is no medical evidence in the record that addresses the effect of an injury on Legg-Perthes disease. For instance, if the appellant had fallen and bruised the hip, it is not clear that this occurrence would have increased the likelihood of aggravation of Legg-Perthes disease, which has to do with deterioration of the top of the femur. Similarly, there is no medical evidence of record that discusses the basic characteristics 9 of the disease or how it may be have been aggravated by the rigors of basic training. It is not the role of the Court or the Board to speculate either that an injurywould have aggravated the disease, or that the rigors of basic training would not have aggravated the underlying disease. The Board's reliance on the absence of record evidence of worsening is flawed for at least three reasons. First, as a general matter "[w]hen assessing a claim, the Board may not consider the absence of evidence as substantive negative evidence." Buczynski v. Shinseki, 24 Vet.App. 221, 224(2011).7 Second, and more fundamentally, in the presumption of soundness context, such reliance effects an impermissible burden shift. If the presumption of soundness applies, and the SMRs do not reflect the fact of aggravation of a preexisting condition, reliance on this absence of evidence requires the appellant to generate postservice medical evidence to prove the aggravation that is to be presumed under section 1111. As noted above, however, the claimant has a burden to prove an increase in severity only in presumption of aggravation cases. 38 U.S.C. § 1153; Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096. In presumption of soundness cases, the burden is on the Secretary to prove lack of aggravation by clear and unmistakable evidence.8 Id. Finally, the appellant correctly noted at oral The majority believes that its analysis here is entirely consistent with the framework that our dissenting colleague has so elegantly set forth in Buczynski and in Kahana v. Shinseki, 24 Vet.App. 428 (2011). In both cases, it is clear that, as a general matter, the absence of evidence is not substantive negative evidence. While the majority agrees that this is not an absolute rule, there must be "a proper foundation . . . to demonstrate that such silence has a tendency to prove or disprove a relevant fact." Post at 3. Both cases reference Federal Rule of Evidence 803(7), to the effect that "the absence of an entry in a record may be evidence against the existence of a fact if such a fact would ordinarily be recorded." Buczynski, 24 Vet.App. at 224; Kahana, 24 Vet.App. at 440 (Lance, J., concurring). Here there is no evidentiary foundation, or even a logical reason to suppose, that in the context of treatment by a corpsman or other service medical personnel, aggravation of a preexisting condition would ordinarily be considered, much less recorded. The dissent also relies on Maxson, supra, to argue that the lack of postservice treatment records can be considered when determining whether a preexisting condition was aggravated during service. Maxson does state that the lack of treatment records can be considered along with other relevant factors, including the "nature and course of the disease or disability, the amount of time that elapsed since military service, and any other relevant facts." Id. at 1333. Here, the problem is that the record is bereft of any evidence concerning the nature and course of Legg-Perthes disease. Without independent medical evidence regarding the nature and course of the appellant's condition, the Court is left to speculate as to the significance of the lack of postservice treatment for the condition. The appellant further argues that the fact he was discharged from service after a clean entrance examination constitutes prima facie evidence of an increase in disability. He reasons that because there is no evidence of the natural progression of the disease, he is entitled to a finding of aggravation. Because the MEB report found him medically fit for retention, however, the mere fact of discharge does not necessarily constitute evidence of worsening. Neither does this finding constitute evidence against aggravation, however, as the dissent suggests. Post at 1-2. The record indicates that the appellant no longer met the procurement standards for induction into the armed services (R. at 234). If anything, the change in the PULHES rating from "1" at enlistment to "P3" at separation (R. at 221) would tend to indicate a worsening of the hip condition. The PULHES system teaches that a soldier may continue in military service under a 8 7 10 argument that there was no evidence of the degree of severity of his Legg-Perthes condition between its first diagnosis when he was age six and the development of pain when he was in basic training. The Board therefore had no basis for assuming that the notations of hip pain in the SMRs did not signal worsening or increase in severity. In this case, the only affirmative evidence pertaining to the issue of aggravation was a box on the MEB form, which contained an "X" indicating that the condition had not been aggravated by active duty. There was no analysis or medical explanation accompanying this conclusion. The report provides no means of determining whether the MEB found that there was no increase in disability or found that any increase was due to the natural progress of the disease. See Wagner, 370 F.3d at 1096. As to the latter possibility, the MEB report contains neither a finding that any increase in severity was due to the natural progress of the disease, nor any analysis of medical evidence to support such a finding. The Court agrees with the dissent that an MEB report "that does not contain a narrative explaining why the doctors on the panel reached the conclusion that a condition preexisted service and was not aggravated by it will never contain the detail necessary to deny a claim." Post at 4. In short, such evidence falls woefully short of clear and unmistakable evidence. In his supplemental briefing the Secretary further conceded that there are no special indices of reliability arising from the manner in which an MEB report is prepared. There is therefore no reason that the Court should not follow its caselaw that such an unexplained conclusory opinion is entitled to no weight in a service-connection context. See Nieves- Rodriguez v. Peake, 22 Vet.App. 295, 304 (2008).9 In Nieves-Rodriguez, the Court observed that "[i]t is the fully articulated, sound reasoning for the conclusion . . . that contributes probative value to a medical opinion." Id. The dissent suggests, without citation, that the endorsement of the unexplained and unsupported conclusion by three service physicians "makes it more probable that the conclusion is true than if only a single doctor were involved or if a panel were divided ." Post at 1. As a matter limited duty profile. Thus, the fact that the appellant was fit for retention–in the unexplained judgment of the signatories to the MEB report–is no evidence as to the existence of aggravation or the lack thereof. The Secretary cites Stover v. Mansfield, 21 Vet.App. 485, 492 (2007) for the proposition that the finding of a U.S. Navy Physical Examnation Board (PEB) that a disability was not aggravated by service is evidence to be weighed by the Board. However, there is no record of a PEB report or proceeding in this case. Assuming that the MEB evidence of lack of aggravation is to be analogously weighed, however, on these facts the MEB report is not entitled to any probative weight. Nieves-Rodriguez, 22 Vet.App. at 304. 9 11 of mathematics, however, any multiple of nothing is still nothing. Thus, an accretion of medical opinions, each of which is entitled to no weight in its own right, cannot add probative value to the ultimate medical conclusion. In the Court's view, the concerns for articulated, sound reasoning underlying Nieves- Rodriguez are at their zenith when VA attempts to carry its burden of rebutting either prong of the presumption of soundness by clear and unmistakable evidence. The level of reasoning and analysis that is appropriate to that task is amply illustrated in the Secretary's own regulation: (b) Presumption of Soundness. The veteran will be considered to have been in sound condition when examined accepted and enrolled for service, except as to defects, infirmities, or disorders noted at entrance into service, or where clear and unmistakable (obvious or manifest) evidence demonstrates that an inquiry or disease existed prior thereto and was not aggravated by such service. Only such conditions as are recorded in examination reports are to be considered as noted. (1) History of preservice existence of conditions recorded at the time of examination does not constitute a notation of such conditions but will be considered together with all other material evidence in determinations as to inception. Determinations should not be based on medical judgment alone as distinguished from accepted medical principles or on history alone without regard to clinical factors pertinent to the basic character, origin, and development of such injury or disease. They should be based on thorough analysis of the evidentiary showing and careful correlation of all material facts, with due regard to accepted medical principles pertaining to the history, manifestations, clinical course, and character of the particular injury or disease or residuals thereof. (2) History conforming to accepted medical principles should be given due consideration, in conjunction with basic clinical data, and be accorded probative valueconsistentwith acceptedmedicalandevidentiary principlesin relation to value consistent with accepted medical evidence relating to incurrence, symptoms, and course of the injury and disease, including official and other records made prior to, during or subsequent to service, together with all other lay and medical evidence concerningtheinception, developmentandmanifestationsoftheparticularcondition will be taken into full account. 38 C.F.R. § 3.304 (emphasis added). Contrary to this regulatory provision, there is not a single statement of accepted medical principles, much less an analysis of the clinical factors and other evidence in light of those principles, in the MEB report or anywhere else in the record. 12 The dissent offers the proposition that "if the opinion is lacking in detail, then it maybe given some weight based upon the amount of information and analysis it contains." Post at 2. The problem here, however, is that the MEB report is bereft of any information and analysis useful to the Court's review of its conclusion. Thus, by the dissent's own reasoning, the report has no probative value. Furthermore, the lack of discussion as to how the conclusions on the MEB report were arrived at prevents the Board and the Court from properlyassessing whether those conclusions were based on a sufficient evidentiary basis. See Nieves-Rodriguez, 22 Vet.App. at 302 (requiring the Board and the Court to ensure that medical opinions are made on the basis of sufficient facts or data and the application of reliable medical principles). The Secretary, however, argues that "the judgment of the medical professionals who comprise the MEB that an opinion can be rendered on anyone or moremedicalissues based upon the extant evidence is a medicalconclusion which cannot be independently second guessed by either the Board or this Court." Secretary's Supplemental Brief at 16. In fact, citing Cox v. Nicholson, 20 Vet.App. 563, 569 (2007), the Secretary further offers the suggestion that "it should be presumed that the MEB found that it had sufficient evidence on which to base [its] conclusions." Id. at 17. The assessment whetherthe physician's report is supported bymedicalevidence that pertains to the conclusion reached, however, is a significant part of what the Court does on de novo review. Without such review, the Court would be in the position of rubber stamping what may be nothing more than a bare, ad hoc assertion. The Secretary attempts to extend Cox to cover matters to which that opinion was never directed. The presumed competence of medical personnel to render an opinion does not create any presumption that the medical analysis underlying an opinion in a particular case is correct. The Secretary argues that the factors listed in the regulation e.g., clinical factors, medical principles, thorough analysis, need not appear in the MEB report, but rather pertain to the determinations to be made by the Board. This argument rings hollow, however, in view of the fact that the Board may rely only on independent medical evidence to make its determinations. See Colvin v. Derwinski, 1 Vet.App. 171 (1991). If the MEB report does not contain sufficient discussion, the Board must obtain further medical evidence to support the required regulatory analysis, which it expressly declined to do in this instance. 13 It will also not do to argue that the MEB report becomes clear and unmistakable evidence by virtue of the fact that it is the only contemporaneous evidence pertaining to aggravation. Bynow it should be clear that the veteran has no burden to produce evidence of aggravation, although the veteran may choose to do so. Instead, the evidence of lack of aggravation produced by the Secretary must rise to the level of clear and unmistakable evidence on its own merit, without reference to any countervailing evidence. It is thereforeuntenablefortheSecretarytoadvocateaffirmanceoftheBoard's decisionwhen the only affirmative evidence in support is an unexplained "X" on a form. Affirmance on such a basis would require the Board and the Court to accept a bare conclusion, or medical judgment, contrary to established caselaw and the Secretary's own regulation. C. The Development of Clear and Unmistakable Evidence If there is any lingering doubt, let it be clear that adjudicators may not deny claims involving the presumption of soundness based upon MEB reports containing no supporting analysis. Rather, VAandtheBoardmust seekotherevidence commensuratewith theappropriateevidentiarystandard of clear and unmistakable evidence. If the SMRs and discharge reports lack sufficient content to rebut the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness, that is, to prove lack of aggravation, the Secretaryand the Board have several options. At oral argument, the Secretaryconceded that he would have the authorityto obtain an opinion from a VA physician when a veteran is discharged from service for medical reasons. Alternatively, VAmaysubpoenapreservicemedicalrecordsandinterviewpeoplewhowerefamiliar with the claimant's physical condition prior to service. See 38 U.S.C. § 5711; 38 C.F.R. § 2.2 (2011). Such evidence, when evaluated by a competent physician, may enable the establishment of a preservicemedical baseline for the condition for which service connection is sought. Cf. 38 C.F.R. § 3.310 (2011). The comparison of the preservice baseline with the condition soon after service could be a reliable and straightforward method of proving lack of aggravation. Lacking the evidence to establish such a baseline, the Secretary may attempt to carry his evidentiary burden with a postservice medical opinion that discusses "the character of the particular injury or disease," 38 C.F.R. § 3.304(b)(1), in relation to the available evidence. In certain cases, the nature of a preexisting disease or injury may imply an extremely low likelihood of aggravation bya limited period of even intense physical training. See 38 C.F.R. § 3. 303(c). If a physician is able 14 to support such a conclusion with a suitable medical explanation, supported by extant medical knowledge and the facts of record, such an opinion might constitute or contribute to clear and unmistakable evidence of lack of aggravation. The Board and the Secretary are free to pursue any such evidence during the development and administrative appeal of the claim. This Court has given VA wide latitude in developing evidence to rebut presumptions. See Douglas v. Shinseki, 23 Vet.App. 19, 24 (2009) ("[T]he Secretary's authority to develop a claim necessarily includes the authority to collect and develop evidence that might rebut the presumption of service connection."); Shoffner v. Principi, 16 Vet.App. 208, 213 (2002) (Board has discretion below as to how much development is required). D. Remedy After VA and the Board have had a full opportunity to develop the record, however, the Court's role is basically to assess whether the Secretaryhas succeeded in carrying his burden. In this instance, the Court holds that the Secretary failed to carry his burden of proving lack of aggravation by clear and unmistakable evidence. Reversal, not remand, is therefore the appropriate remedy. In Adams v. Principi, 256 F.3d 1318 (Fed. Cir. 2001), the Federal Circuit affirmed this Court's remand of a presumption of soundness case for clarification of certain medical evidence of record. The dissent glosses over the Federal Circuit's statement in Adams that it was because of the lack of clarity in the medical evidence that a remand was the appropriate remedy. The Federal Circuit focused on ambiguity in the VA examiner's report, concluding that the report could be interpreted in two ways, one way that would be sufficient or another insufficient to rebut the presumption of soundness. It was because of this lack of clarity in the evidence that the Federal Circuit affirmed this Court's conclusion that further factual inquiry was needed to resolve the VA examiner's intent. However, the Federal Circuit distinguished between clarification of the medical evidence and obvious insufficiency of that evidence. This is not a case in which the court was faced with evidence that was clearly insufficient to overcome the presumption of sound condition and in which the court remanded the matter to the Board in order to allow [VA] to attempt to introduce new evidence sufficient to make up the shortfall. 15 Id. at 1321-22. The clear import of this language is that it would be improper to remand the case in the face of medical evidence that is plainly insufficient to rebut the presumption of soundness. See also Stevens v. Principi, 289 F.3d 814, 817 (Fed. Cir. 2002) (reiterating distinction). In this case, the "X" in the "no" column of the MEB report for "aggravated by active duty" is in no way unclear, or as the dissent seems to suggest, ambiguous. See Post at 5. Rather, it is simply unsupported, unexplained, and arrived at employing an insufficient standard of proof. Because it is the only affirmative evidence of lack of aggravation, there is clearly insufficient evidence to rebut the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness, making remand improper. Moreover, it is unclear how a remand would be anything other than yet another opportunity to generate more evidence to make up the shortfall on the aggravation issue. The Secretary did not avail himself of the opportunity, which he concedes was available, to develop evidence on the aggravation issue in 1970. In the course of this claim, the Board twice elected not to seek further medical evidence on the aggravation prong when the case was before it on administrative review. In the decision here on appeal, the Board expressly declined to seek any further medical evidence after the case had been remanded for a more complete consideration of the presumption of soundness. The Board's reasoning was as follows: [T]here is no reasonable possibility that any current VA examination or opinion would result in findings that would provide a reasonable possibilityof substantiating the claim. Accordingly, the Board finds that an etiology opinion is not " necessary" to decide this claim for service connection. See generally Wells v. Principi, 326 F.3d 1381 (Fed. Cir. 2003). R. at 7. Clearly, the Board misperceived the evidentiary posture of the case and abdicated its opportunity to develop suitable evidence of lack of aggravation. There has been no lack of clarity in the law pertaining to the presumption of soundness. The problem has been that VA has yet to step up to its responsibility under that law and its own regulation. Further, there is no immediate cost to the taxpayers in this particular reversal, because the veteran has only received the benefit of the presumption soundness. To obtain service connection, he still would need to establish that he has a current disability and a nexus to the in- service aggravation. See Shedden, supra. Nonetheless, any cost to taxpayers is dwarfed by the prospect of future cases generated by the misperception that the Court will tolerate the continuance of defective evidentiary development in presumption of soundness cases. 16 Moreover, there is a certain uniformity of treatment of similarly situated parties before the Court that is necessary to the appearance of fairness. See Hodge v. West, 155 F.3d 1356, 1363 (Fed. Cir. 1998) ("In the context of veterans' benefits . . . the importance of systemic fairness and the appearance of fairness carries great weight."). The Court would not remand a case when a veteran fails to carry a point on which he or she has the burden of proof. It would be unseemly to so accommodate VA and the Board as to matters on which the Government has the burden of proof. Therefore, the Court will reverse the Board's finding that the aggravation prong of the presumption of soundness was rebutted, that is, that service did not aggravate the appellant's Legg- Perthes disease. TheBoardis directedto enterafinding that the appellant's preexisting Legg-Perthes disease was aggravated in service. The Court will remand the case for development on the other service-connectionissues. Onremand,theBoardandanyVAmedicalexaminer(s) mustassumethat the appellant aggravated his Legg-Perthe's disease during service. In pursuing his case on remand, the appellant will be free to submit additional evidence and argument in support of his service connection claim for his hip condition, and the Board is required to consider any such evidence and argument. See Kay v. Principi, 16 Vet. App. 529, 534 (2002). IV. CONCLUSION Based on the foregoing reasoning, the Court REVERSES the Board's November 18, 2009, determination that the presumption of soundness had been rebutted, directs that a finding of in- service aggravation of the hip condition be entered, and REMANDS the case for further development consistent with this decision. 17 LANCE, Judge, dissenting: I believe the proper disposition of this case is for the Court to remand the matter to the Board foranadequatemedicalexamination basedon" acceptedmedicalprinciples," in accord with 38 C.F.R. § 3.304(a)(1). Although I believe the majority's analysis proceeds in the correct general direction, there are three aspects of the opinion that concern me. First, I do not believe the opinion fullyand accuratelyevaluates the evidence. Second, Ibelieve the opinion misses an opportunity to provide clear guidance to adjudicators below. Finally, I do not believe that the remedy chosen is either required or appropriate. Therefore, I must dissent. I. ANALYSIS OF THE EVIDENCE My first concern is that the majority understates the current evidence that suggests that the appellant's condition was not aggravated by service. The majority frames the issue as "whether a medical examination board (MEB) report containing only an unexplained 'X' in a box on a form can constitute clear and unmistakable evidence of lack of aggravation." Ante at 1. However, the mark on the MEB report is far from the only evidence against this claim. Relevant evidence is anything that "has any tendency to make a fact more or less probable than it would be without the evidence." FED. R. EVID. 401(a). A piece of evidence need not be conclusive to be relevant and the ultimate question presented is whether the totality of the evidence rose to the necessary level to deny the claim, not whether one particular piece of evidence was sufficient. In this case, there are numerous pieces of evidence against the appellant's claim. As to the MEB report itself, the mark indicating that his condition existed prior to service and was not aggravated by it is not the only relevant portion. The report also indicates that three doctors were unanimous in reaching that conclusion. R. at 231. Although a claim cannot be decided merely by counting the number of doctors in support of or against it, the fact that additional doctors reached the same conclusionandthatthedoctorswereunanimous makesit moreprobablethatthe conclusion is true than if only a single doctor were involved or if a panel were divided. See Kahana v. Shinseki, 24 Vet.App. 428, 438 n.8 (2011) (Lance, J., concurring) (noting that an opinion that lacks detail may still lend some support to other opinions that reach the same conclusion). The report also indicated that the appellant was "medically fit" "for further military service." R. at. 230. This finding in the report also tends to show that his condition was not permanently aggravated by service. 18 Aside from the MEB report, there is other evidence in the record against the claim that the majority fails to acknowledge. First, the appellant's SMRs do not indicate that he suffered a leg injury in service. Even though there is presumption of aggravation, the absence of an in-service injury tends to make it less likely that his condition was aggravated by service than if he had injured his left hip in service. Second, the appellant had only seven-and-a-half weeks of service and his condition was observed during his first few weeks of service. Just as a long career in service would make it more likely that a condition was aggravated by service, very brief service tends to make it less likely that a condition was aggravated by service. As the Federal Circuit recognized in Maxson v. Gober, basic facts about the periods involved in a claim are relevant evidence on medical causation issues that are within the common knowledge of a lay adjudicator. 230 F.3d 1330, 1333 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Finally, the record indicates that the appellant did not seek treatment for his leg condition until 15 years after service and, even afterward, had extended periods where he did not complain of a disability caused by his condition. R. at 141. This is exactly the type of "evidence of a prolonged period without medical complaint" that the Federal Circuit in Maxson concluded was relevant to the Board's determination that a condition was not aggravated by service. Id. Thus, here the majority is inaccurate in stating that the only evidence against this claim is one mark on a 40- year-old form. I believe the majority's error in this regard stems from two persistent problems in analyzing evidence in veterans claims. The first is a tendency to conflate the adequacy of a medical opinion with its probative value. The fact that a medical opinion is inadequate to decide a claim does not necessarily mean that the opinion is entitled to no probative weight. If the opinion is based on an inaccurate factual premise, then it is correct to discount it entirely. See Reonal v. Brown, 5 Vet.App. 458, 461 (1993). However, if the opinion is merely lacking in detail, then it may be given some weight based upon the amount of information and analysis it contains. See Nieves-Rodriguez v. Peake, 22 Vet.App. 295, 302 (2008). The majority is simply in error when it states that a conclusion by a physician is entitled to zero probative weight if it is not supported by analysis. If that were true, then a favorable medical opinion from a veteran's doctor that was unsupported by analysis would not be sufficient to trigger the Secretary's duty to assist. See McLendon v. Nicholson, 20 Vet.App. 79, 83 (2006) (holding that 38U.S.C. § 5103A(d)(2) requires that a medical opinion to be provided where the evidenceindicates 19 that a claim has merit but is insufficient to grant the claim). Indeed, McLendon explicitly states that "[t]he types of evidence that 'indicate' that a current disability 'may be associated with military service include, but are not limited to, medical evidence that suggests a nexus but is too equivocal or lacking in specificity to support a decision on the merits." Id. ( quoting 38 U.S.C. § 5103A(d)(2)). Thus, VA is not permitted to completely ignore a bald conclusion by a doctor that supports a claim and the majorityis plainlyincorrect to reject the conclusion of the three doctors who signed the MEB report by dismissively stating that three times zero is still zero. Ante at 12. Put another way, if a tort case were tried before a jury and the plaintiff had three different doctors testify that they thought there was causation, a jury could rely on their unrebutted expertise even if they did not explain why they reached the stated conclusion. Indeed, that is precisely the difference between the jury system and the veterans claims system. It is not enough that the weight of the evidence is against the claim in our system. Our system is transparent and requires the Board to explain the whythe evidence weighs against the claim. See Allday v. Brown, 7 Vet.App. 517, 527 (1995) (Board's statement of reasons or bases for its decision "must be adequate to enable a claimant to understand the precise basis for the Board's decision, as well as to facilitate informed review in this Court"). That is why this Court routinely remands claims to obtain a complete statement of reasons or bases where other appellate courts review trial determinations to see whether there is any reasonable view of the evidence that would support the conclusion reached by the factfinder after "draw[ing] all reasonable inferences in favor of the prevailing party." Akamai Techs., Inc. v. Cable & Wireless Internet Servs., Inc., 344 F.3d 1186, 1192 (Fed. Cir. 2003). The majority makes a similar error in stating that I "encroach[] on the role of a physician" by observing that the absence of an in-service injury tends to make it less likely that the appellant's condition was aggravated by service. Although the majority cites no support for their criticism of my observation, it is clearly referring to Colvin v. Derwinski, in which this Court reprimanded the Board for relying on "its own unsubstantiated medical conclusions." 1 Vet. App. 171, 175 (1991). However, the Federal Circuit has repeatedly reminded us that Colvin should not be cited as an absolute rule and that the Court must acknowledge that there are some basic principles of medicine that are within the common knowledge of a lay person, which includes both claimants and adjudicators. See Kahana, 24 Vet.App. at 435 (noting that "there is no categorical requirement of '"competent medical evidence . . . [when] the determinative issue involves either medical etiology 20 or a medical diagnosis'"" (quoting Davidson v. Shinseki, 581 F.3d 1313, 1316 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (quoting Jandreau v. Nicholson, 492 F.3d 1372, 1377 (Fed. Cir. 2007)))). Despite the clarity of instruction from the Federal Circuit, this Court is overdue in providing guidance as to what principles of medicine are within the common knowledge of laypersons. Unfortunately, the majority opinion misses a useful opportunity to do so. As discussed above, the Federal Circuit provided some direction in Maxson. The essential lesson of Maxson is that lay persons can recognize the basic connection between an in-service injury or disease, the passage of time, and the development of a disability. When a disability develops shortly after an in-service disease or injury affecting the same diseased or injured body part or system, it is simply common sense to infer that there is a connection. This inference will not always be correct, but the inference is accurate enough to have some weight and to trigger the duty to assist. Conversely, when a disabilitydoes not developuntil longafterservice,then a connection is unlikely— especiallyif there was no injury or disease in service affecting the body part or system at issue. To be clear, medical common knowledge must be used with caution. When it is favorable, it is not per se sufficient to grant the claim. When, as here, it is unfavorable, it is not per se sufficient to deny the claim. Instead, the adjudicator must take care to consider it on a case by case basis. Moreover, general medical common knowledge may be rebutted with expert medical evidence that shows that the basic intuition is not accurate for a particular set of facts. Thus, the Board should be explicit as to how it assigns weight to medical common knowledge in each case. In this particular case, the majority is correct that there is no evidence as to the nature and progression of Legg-Perthes disease. However, the majority ignores the fact that lay medical common knowledge has value precisely when it is unrebutted by expert evidence to the contrary. Applying the logic of the majority to discount medical common knowledge in the absence of confirmatory expert evidence effectively reinstates the absolute rule of Colvin that the Federal Circuit has clearly overruled. The second problem is the majority's tendency to ignore the evidentiary value of the absence of evidence. The Federal Circuit has made clear that absence of corroboration is not generally a basis for discounting lay testimony. See Buchanan v. Nicholson, 451 F.3d 1331, 1336-37 (Fed. Cir. 2006). However, as explained in my separate opinion in Kahana, this does not prevent an adjudicator from considering the probative value of silence in the available evidence if a proper 21 foundation exists to demonstrate that such silence has a tendencyto proveor disprove a relevant fact. 24 Vet.App. at 440. In this regard, the majority's reliance on Previous HitBuczynskiNext Hit v. Shinseki, 24 Vet.App. 221 (2011) is misplaced. Previous HitBuczynskiNext Document does not stand for the absolute rule that the absence of evidence can never be considered, but instead states — as elaborated in Kahana, supra, — that the Board may consideralackofnotation ofmedicalcondition orsymptoms assubstantivenegativeevidencewhere such notation would normally be expected. 24 Vet.App. at 226-27. The majority states that there is no logical reason to expect that an injury to the appellant's leg would have been recorded if one had occurred in service. Ante at 10 n. 6. However, there is no basis for holding, as a matter of law, that it is unreasonable to expect that if the appellant had injured his leg during his brief service, then that fact would have been documented somewhere in the investigation as to whetherhis legcondition was aggravated byservice. Of course, the fact that there was no observable injury to the leg in service is not sufficient to rebut the presumption of aggravation, but that does not change the fact that the absence of an observed injury makes it less likely his condition was aggravated by service than if an injury was noted. Thus, it appears that the majority is forgetting that a presumption exists only to allocate the burden of proof. It cannot rob evidence of its tendency to make a fact in issue more or less probable than it would be without the evidence. See Routen v. West, 142 F.3d 1434, 1440 (Fed. Cir. 1998) (a " presumption affords a party, for whose benefit the presumption runs, the luxury of not having to produce specific evidence to establish the point at issue"). For these reasons, Ibelieve the majoritydramaticallyunderstates the strength of the evidence rebutting the presumption of aggravation, which contributes to the incorrect remedy applied in this case. II. PROPER EVALUATION OF AN MEB REPORT My second concern with the majority opinion is that it fails to provide clear guidance to adjudicators as to how to handle future cases. The majority correctly notes that the Secretary's regulation has clearly stated what evidence is required to rebut the presumptions of sound condition and of aggravation. The majority does a commendable job of quoting 38 C.F. R. § 3.304 and emphasizing the key language. Ante at 10-11. However, in its analysis the opinion moves too quickly past this regulation. 22 It is § 3.304 that states the Secretary's interpretation of what the evidence must show to reach the threshold necessary to rebut the presumption. The evidence must show that applying "accepted medical principles" regarding the nature of the condition to its history in the case at hand, including therelevantclinicaldata,wouldresultinfullyinformedmedicalprofessionals agreeingasto whether the condition preexisted service or was aggravated by it. To the extent that this is usually (if not universally) an issue requiring medical expertise, see Jandreau, 492 F.3d at 1377 n.4, the Board may not deny the claim based upon its own medical judgment, but rather must seek a competent medical opinion on the issue. See Colvin, 1 Vet.App. at 174. In this regard, an MEB report that does not contain a narrative explaining why the doctors on the panel reached the conclusion that a condition preexisted service and was not aggravated by it will never contain the detail necessary to deny a claim. However, such a report will indicate that the presumption might not be accurate in a particular case and justify the Secretary's decision to seek a medical opinion that fully addresses the standard and the factors laid out in § 3.304. See Douglas v. Shinseki, 23 Vet.App. 19, 25-26 (2009) (holding that the Secretary may seek an opinion that can rebut a favorable presumption if the record contains evidence raising the issue). Thus, the clear message that this opinion should send to the Secretary is that adjudicators should not deny claims based upon MEB reports containing no supporting analysis, but instead should seek medical opinions that address the appropriate standard under the regulation. Such guidance might be inferred from the majority opinion, but it should be stated unequivocally. III. APPROPRIATE REMEDY Finally, I disagree with the majority that reversal is required in this case. Reversal is appropriate where law is settled and the Board's determination of adequacy is "clearly erroneous." However, I believe that in an area where the Court is providing new guidance (as it is doing here), VA should have the opportunity to obtain evidence under that guidance. As detailed above, there is substantial evidence indicating that this claim does not have merit even though VA has not obtained a medical opinion that fully analyzes the issue under § 3.304. In my view, we have not clearly held prior to this case that VA must obtain a proper medical opinion addressing the regulatory standard if the MEB report does not contain a narrative analysis sufficient to apply those factors and, the Board decision in this case was not clearly erroneous under 23 established law in denying benefits in this case. Indeed, this case is somewhat similar to Maxson, where the Federal Circuit affirmed a finding that the presumption had been rebutted based in large part on the long period without complaint after service. Thus, I cannot agree that the Board "abdicated its opportunity to develop suitable evidence" in this case. Ante at 14. Although the majority argues that "[t]here has been no lack of clarity in the law pertaining to the presumption of soundness," ante at 17, the problem is that there has been a profound lack of clarity in our caselaw explaining how the Board should weigh evidence. Unfortunately, this opinion adds to the confusion rather than helping to resolve it. As I believe that the Board's error here was understandable in light of the gaps in our case law, I also believe that the majority's reliance on Adams is misplaced. If anything, Adams counsels for remand in this case instead of reversal. In Adams, this Court remanded a similar claim to the Board because, even though there was substantial evidence against the claim, the medical opinion was ambiguous as to whether it had applied the correct standard. 256 F.3d at 1319-20. In appealing to the Federal Circuit, the appellant argued that reversal was the required remedy because the record contained "insufficient evidence to rebut the presumption of sound condition." Id. at 1321. The Federal Circuit rejected this argument and held that it was appropriate for the Court to remand the case for further development in the form of "an explanation from [the VA physician] of his opinion, or if necessary supplemental medical evidence that might shed light on the ambiguities in [the VA physician]'s report." Id. at 1322. In this case, we have a unanimous opinion from three doctors in the MEB report that the appellant's condition preexisted service and was not aggravated by service. Although it is not possible to obtain clarification from those doctors, this is certainly a case where "supplementalmedicalevidence" underAdamswouldshedlightontheambiguitycreatedbythelack of a narrative analysis supporting the conclusion in the report. To the extent that Adams contains dicta on when reversal would be appropriate based upon different sets of facts, it is simply not binding in this case. Even to the extent that Adams endorses reversal where the evidence presented to the Court is "clearly insufficient to overcome the presumption," id. at 1322, I do not believe that the evidence in this case was clearly insufficient prior to this opinion clarifying the proper development and analysis required. Ultimately, I believe that the Court has discretion in choosing the appropriate remedy on a case-by-case basis. Adams recognized that it is our mandate under 38 U.S.C. § 7252(a) to choose 24 a remedy "as appropriate" to the case before us. Moreover, the U.S. Supreme Court in Shinseki v. Sanders warned against the creation of "complex, rigid, and mandatory" rules for this Court that require particular types of relief regardless of whether they are consistent with the facts or logic of a particular case. 556 U.S. 396, 407 (2009). In this case, the Court's decision to reverse the Board's finding as to the presumption rather than to allow it to be addressed properly on remand is contrary to Adams and Sanders. As a result, it is the taxpayer who is punished for VA's error even though the error is quite understandable based upon the evidence in this case and the confusion in the law prior to this opinion. Therefore, I must respectfully dissent. 25